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Boris Johnson, · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
A vote to Remain will be taken in Brussels as a green light for more federalism, and for the erosion of democracy.
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Gordon Brown, Former Prime Minister · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
3 million jobs in the UK are linked to our trade with the EU. The future prosperity of British people, are inexorably linked to our trade and co-operation with other European countries
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John van Reenen, Director of the Centre for Economic Performance · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
The direct effects on income and GDP would be long-term and obviously depend on the exact negotiations of what follows. Under a pessimistic scenario we have estimated losses of real income over the long-run of a 6-9% of real income
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Kitty Usher, Managing Director, Tooley Street Research · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
The trend rate of GDP growth will be a little lower due to reduced competitive pressure on UK firms from possible implied or real trade barriers and the negative signal sent to prospective investors seeking to trade with the EU from Britain
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Andrew Simms, Director, New Weather Economics · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
The sheer complexity of continuing European and global economic interdependence would replace one Europe-wide set of agreements with a thicket of even more. [...] All prospects would become trickier and harder still to navigate
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Andrew Sentance, Former MPC member and Senior Economic Adviser, PwC · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
[Brexit] would make me more negative about the medium-term for two reasons. (1) Disruption and uncertainty created by Brexit; (2) Lack of a clear alternative to underpin UK's trade and investment relationships
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Michael Saunders, Citi · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Brexit would represent a retreat from globalisation, making the UK a less attractive place for business location
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Bridget Rosewell, Senior Adviser, Volterra Partners · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Uncertainty and political disruption could make a difference and will certainly affect Scotland and Northern Ireland
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Adam Posen, President, Peterson Institute for International Economics · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Huge self-inflicted wound. Business investment will dry up rapidly, and greater uncertainty premia will get built into interest rates. Trade with Euro Area will start declining, and that decline will increase over time
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David Owen, Chief European Economist, Jefferies · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Economically and politically the UK would certainly be viewed as significantly weaker, especially if there were further calls to break-up the Union, with the SNP demanding another referendum on Scotland's future
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Patrick Minford, Professor of Applied Economics, Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
In the medium and long term Breset will herald a major growth-boosting period as the UK breaks free of the over-mighty EU with its protectionist mindset and establishes free trade and intelligent regulation aimed at UK economic interests
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Chris Martin, Professor of Economics, University of Bath · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Brexit would be an economic disaster
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Gerard Lyons, Chief Economic Adviser to Boris Johnson, the Mayor of London · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
In the medium term, Brexit would be better for the economy than remaining in an unreformed EU
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Grant Lewis, Head of Research, Daiwa Capital Markets Europe · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Any settlement that sees the UK access to EU markets restricted will clearly have a much greater impact on growth prospects - those who think that the Commonwealth can replace the EU as the UK's main trading partner are simply deluded
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Ruth Lea, Economic adviser, Arbuthnot Banking Group · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
The UK [...] would no longer be a major net contributor of the EU budget
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Ruth Lea, Economic adviser, Arbuthnot Banking Group · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
[Brexit would] improve prospects: the UK would be able to appeal/amend irksome regulations [...], would be able to negotiate its own trade deals, would be able to run a non-discriminatory immigration policy without having to favour EU nationals
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DeAnne Julius, Former MPC member, Chair of UCL · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
I would expect a month or two of financial market volatility to follow a "Leave" vote, and anxiety by certain business segments but not a significant hit to growth either in the short or medium term
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Richard Jeffrey, Chief Investment Officer, Cazenove Capital Management · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
Once the exit terms had been negotiated [...], the UK could become a more attractive base for foreign companies looking for an European base. One specific of the economy that could benefit would be financial services.
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Martin Ellison, Professor of Economics, University of Oxford · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Should the vote go in favour of Brexit, the level of uncertainty is likely to shoot through the roof - the future of the UK outside of the EU is surrounded by Knightian uncertainties, the "unknown unknowns" made famous by Donald Rumsfeld
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Peter Dixon, Economist, Commerzbank · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
If we turn our back on our economic and political allies, we are operating in a world of much greater uncertainty and I would be much less optimistic about our economic future
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Wouter Den Haan, Professor of Economics, London School of Economics · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
I would be more pessimistic about the UKs prospects at any horizon if it would leave the EU, unless the EU is hit by a major calamity such as a complete collapse because of the refugee crisis
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Diane Coyle, Professor of Economics, University of Manchester. Vice-Chairman BBC Trust. Former advisor to the UK Treasury. · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Many foreign investors would relocate, export contracts would not get renegotiated because of the uncertainty, and the transition costs of unpicking a 40+ year relationship would be extremely high
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David Cobham, Professor of Economics, Heriot-Watt University · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
It will have strong and lasting negative effects over the medium and long term
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Adam Clarke, Economist, Scotiabank · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
There is good reason for the EU to maintain trade links with the UK outside of the EU. The majority of UK services exports go outside of the EU, which suggests that this sector is less vulnerable to a factious divorce
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Alan Budd, Former MPC member · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Sources of uncertainty are likely to harm investment spending in the short and medium term
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Charles Bean, Professor of Economics, London School of Economics · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Brexit - actual or expected - may encourage some businesses to postpone (or even cancel) planned investment
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Richard Barwell, Senior Economist, BNP Paribas · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
The safe bet is that the significant and sustained spike in uncertainty will weigh on growth. [...] This kind of shock to uncertainty will raise the hurdle rate on major investment projects leading companies to delay spending
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Kate Barker, Former MPC member · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Much would depend on the trade negotiations as an "out" and on the reaction of the City - the latter seems likely to be a key negative
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Panicos Demetriades, University of Leicester · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
There is no doubt that Brexit is a factor that will weigh heavily on the prospects of the UK economy and beyond
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Gerard Lyons, Economic adviser to Boris Johnson, mayor of London · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
The choice may be a stark one, between the UK being in an EU that is inward looking [and] insular, [...] or outside, trading with the whole world including Europe, negotiating our own, better suited, trade deals with a focus on what the UK is good at
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Ricardo Reis, Professor of Economics at London School of Economics · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
While leaving could allow for some policy improvements, it would also open the way for a whole list of dreadful policies regarding trade, immigration, and industrial policy that membership in the EU now precludes
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Stephen King, Adviser to HSBC · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Footballers that leave clubs where they have done well have sometimes underperformed thereafter. Could the UK be heading the same way?
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John van Reenen, Director of the Centre for Economic Performance · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
In addition to a loss of trade there will be a loss of foreign investment
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Gavyn Davies, Chairman of Fulcrum Asset Management · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
A No vote would lead to a sharp drop in growth in 2017
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Louise Mensch, Author and former conservative MP · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
Every week Britain sends half the budget for our schools to Brussels. £350m.
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Nature, International journal of science · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Science, in Britain and elsewhere, would benefit from the United Kingdom remaining as a committed member of the European team.
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JLB, · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
UK will be less competitive on the markets, as example they will have restrictions into FTA
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Jayne-Anne Gadhia, Virgin Money CEO · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
The price of consumer finance, mortgages and credit would increase. It could increase the price of financial products.
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William Hague, Former UK Foreign Secretary, Leader of the House of Commons and MP for Richmond · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Britain voting to leave the European Union could spark the end of the United Kingdom. It would give Scottish nationalists impetus for a second independence referendum.
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George Soros, Business magnate, investor, and philanthropist · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
The UK will struggle if it cuts itself off from the rest of Europe
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Alan Johnson, British Labour Party politician who served as Home Secretary from June 2009 to May 2010 · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
British shoppers are better off and better protected as part of Europe
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Ban Ki-moon, Secretary General of the United Nations · 31 Aug 2017

Clock is ticking toward climate catastrophe
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Enda Kenny, Irish Prime Minister · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
The EU has been an important, perhaps underestimated, enabler of peace in Northern Ireland.
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Kate Hoey, Labour MP for Vauxhall since 1989. · 31 Aug 2017

agrees Brexit
If we vote to leave, then the £350m we send to Brussels every week can be spent on our priorities like the NHS.
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Nigel Carrington, Vice-Chancellor, University of the Arts London · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Without Erasmus we would have major problems in terms of enabling our students to study overseas.
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Sir Steve Smith, Vice-Chancellor, Exeter University · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
British universities get around 15 per cent of all funds allocated by the EU for research.
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Alison Woollard, Biochemist, Oxford University · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
Leaving the EU would be an unmitigated catastrophe for British science. The Graphene Flagship project is exactly the kind of investment that will be jeopardised.
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Win Bischoff, Ex-Chairman, Lloyds Bank · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
London is really the most important financial center in Europe, and we benefit enormously by being part of Europe. An exit from Europe, wouldn’t be a cliff event, but over a period of time, market share will go to other centers.
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Jim Rogers, Co-Founder, the Quantum Fund · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
If the UK left the European Union, London's dominance of foreign exchange including euro trading would gradually decline and then end as the flows moved to Asia and other European capitals.
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Paul Drechsler, President, the CBI · 31 Aug 2017

disagrees Brexit
All the evidence that I have seen basically says there’s three to five percentage points in GDP - about £3,000 per household - value to the economy of being in Europe.
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