Grant Lewis, Head of Research, Daiwa Capital Markets EuropeAny settlement that sees the UK access to EU markets restricted will clearly have a much greater impact on growth prospects - those who think that the Commonwealth can replace the EU as the UK's main trading partner are simply deluded
Patrick Minford, Professor of Applied Economics, Cardiff Business School, Cardiff UniversityIn the medium and long term Breset will herald a major growth-boosting period as the UK breaks free of the over-mighty EU with its protectionist mindset and establishes free trade and intelligent regulation aimed at UK economic interests
John van Reenen, Director of the Centre for Economic PerformanceThe direct effects on income and GDP would be long-term and obviously depend on the exact negotiations of what follows. Under a pessimistic scenario we have estimated losses of real income over the long-run of a 6-9% of real income
Theresa Villiers, Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, Member of Parliament for Chipping BarnetIf we Vote Leave we would be entitled to remove people who have entered the UK through our common border with Ireland if they are not entitled to be here … There would be no need to erect border controls between the UK and Ireland after we Vote Leave.
Tony Burke, Assistant General Secretary, Unite trade unionOutside of the EU, we won’t have the power of being in a market of 500 million people… What do the Brexiters think the US and EU countries will do if they want to trade with us? It won’t be a negotiation, they will probably send a fax saying ‘sign here'.
Richard Newby, Liberal Democrat Peer and Chief Whip of Lib Dem group in House of Lords.We also know that the EU is well down the track of negotiating on trade deals with some of the largest economies in the world, including the US, Japan and India. When those are completed, we will get benefits from them by virtue of our membership.
Pascal Lamy , French political consultant and businessman. Director-General of the WTO 2005-2013As the former head of the WTO, let me be clear: this would be a terrible replacement for access to the EU single market ... it is very unlikely that the UK would be a more prosperous place [after a Brexit].
Moorad Choudhry, Head of Business Treasury, Global Banking and Markets at Royal Bank of ScotlandFar from being at risk of stagnation [after a Brexit], we would be able to present ourselves as a genuine open free market, no longer subject to EU bureaucracy and regulation. Expect things to go from strength to strength.
David Frost, English journalist, comedian, writer, media personality and daytime tv game show hostScotch supports around 40,000 jobs in the UK… Europe has a taste for scotch. The industry will do better if we remain in the EU because whisky producers have hassle-free, easy access to the single market of 500 million people.
Paul Drechsler, President of the Confederation of British IndustryMembership affords the UK tariff-free access to more than 500 million consumers… We have… become a destination for foreign direct investment because we offer a platform into this market… if we’re out, there is no clarity… there’s no fast route.
Lady Mone, Baroness Mone of Mayfair OBE, Entrepreneur, Startup Tsar for the GovernmentAt the end of the day we need to have stability… We need to get the country back, and the country going. And, yes, hindsight is a wonderful thing - if we weren't in the EU - but we are in the EU and I think it's too risky to come out.
Howard Shore, Executive chairman, Shore Capital Group[After a Brexit] we would be able to focus any trade negotiations on the sectors that are vital to the UK, rather than compromising with the interests of 27 other nations. Europe is economically stagnant and not where we will find long-term growth.
Elizabeth Truss, http://www.agriland.ie/farming-news/leaving-the-eu-a-leap-in-the-dark-for-the-uk/?If we were to leave the EU, Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK would not be able to negotiate a bilateral trade deal with the Republic of Ireland. Northern Ireland’s farmers would have no certainty on cross trade arrangements.
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