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AI will pose a serious risk to society within the next 50 years
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Bill Gates Philanthropist. Founder and former CEO of Microsoft.
I am in the camp that is concerned about super intelligence. First the machines will do a lot of jobs for us and not be super intelligent...A few decades after that though the intelligence is strong enough to be a concern.
Sam Altman President of Y Combinator. Investor at Reddit, Stripe, Change.org, Pinterest and many others
Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity.
Stephen Hawking British physicist
The primitive forms of artificial intelligence developed so far have already proved very useful, but I fear the consequences of creating something that can match or surpass humans.
James Barrat Filmmaker, speaker and author
AI will have survival drives much like our own. We may be forced to compete with a rival more cunning, more powerful, and more alien than we can imagine
Nick Bostrom
Before the prospect of an intelligence explosion, we humans are like small children playing with a bomb [...] We have little idea when the detonation will occur, though if we hold the device to our ear we can hear a faint ticking sound
Alan Turing British mathematician and logician, a major contributor to mathematics, cryptanalysis, and AI
Even if we could keep the machines in a subservient position, for instance by turning off the power at strategic moments, we should, as a species, feel greatly humbled. … [T]his new danger … is certainly something which can give us anxiety.
Roman Yampolskiy Computer scientist at the University of Louisville
Yampolskiy has warned of the possibility of existential risk from advanced artificial intelligence, and has advocated research into "boxing" artificial intelligence
Yoshua Bengio Computer scientist at University of Montreal
One thing I came with is also … this subject of safe AI came up in many discussions, and I would say that these discussions left a strong [positive] impression on me.
Dustin Moskovitz co-founder of Facebook and Asana
... As concern grows, Dustin Moskovitz and Cari Tuna’s funding outfit is also paying attention, with several recent grants focused on the risks of AI, including one for $5.5 million.
World Economic Forum World Economic Forum Report
Some serious thinkers fear that AI could one day pose an existential threat: a ‘superintelligence’ might pursue goals that prove not to be aligned with the continued existence of humankind
Sam Harris American author, philosopher, and neuroscientist
It is sobering to admit that chaos seems a probable outcome even in the best-case scenario, in which the AGI remained perfectly obedient. But of course we cannot assume the best-case scenario. In fact, “the control problem”—the solution to which would gu
Demis Hassabis Founder & CEO, DeepMind
He accepts there are “legitimate risks that we should be thinking about now”, but is adamant these are not the dystopian scenarios of science fiction in which super-smart machines ruthlessly dispense of their human creators.
Max Tegmark Professor at MIT & co-founder at Future of Life Institute
Superintelligent machines are quite feasible
Shane Legg Machine learning researcher and founder of DeepMind
It's my number 1 risk for this century
Eric Horvitz Director of Microsoft Research's main Redmond lab
Deeper study is also needed to understand the potential of superintelligence or other pathways to result in even temporary losses of control of AI systems.
William Poundstone Journalist
There is going to be interest in creating machines with will, whose interests are not our own. And that's without considering what machines that terrorists, rogue regimes, and intelligence agencies of the less roguish nations, may devise. I think the notion of Frankensteinian AI, which turns on its creators, is something worth taking seriously
Clive Sinclair Entrepreneur and inventor
Once you start to make machines that are rivaling and surpassing humans with intelligence, it’s going to be very dif icult for us to survive
Jaan Tallinn Co-founder of Skype and Kazaa
A superintelligent AI could be a serious problem
Stuart Russell Professor of Computer Science at Berkeley
The question is: Could you prove that your systems can’t ever, no matter how smart they are, overwrite their original goals as set by the humans?
Bart Selman Computer scientist at Cornell University
It's a societal risk. Society will have to adapt. How we will adapt is not fully clear yet. But I think it's something we'll have to think about.
Frank Wilczek Physicist, MIT and Recipient, 2004 Nobel Prize in Physics
Without careful restraint and tact, researchers could wake up to discover they've enabled the creation of armies of powerful, clever, vicious paranoiacs
Francesca Rossi Computer Scientist, Professor at the University of Padova
AI is already more “intelligent” than humans in narrow domains, some of which involve delicate decision making. Humanity is not threatened by them, but many people could be affected by their decisions. [...] Consider automated trading systems. A bad decision in these systems may be (and has been) a financial disaster for many people. That will also be the case for self-driving cars. Some of their ... See More
Ray Kurzweil Author, computer scientist, inventor and futurist
The existential threat from genetic technologies is already here: the same technology that will soon make major strides against cancer, heart disease, and other diseases could also be employed by a bioterrorist to create a bioengineered biological virus that combines ease of transmission, deadliness, and stealthiness, that is, a long incubation period. The tools and knowledge to do this are far mo... See More
Vernor Vinge Retired San Diego State University Professor and author
Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended (1993)
Richard Sutton Professor and iCORE chair of computer science at University of Alberta
He states that there is “certainly a significant chance within all of our expected lifetimes” that human-level AI will be created, then goes on to say the AIs “will not be under our control”, and so on
Stephen Omohundro Scientist, Self-Aware Systems; Co-founder, Center for Complex Systems Research
Omohundro’s research concludes that the drives of superintelligent machines will be on a collision course with our own, unless we design them very carefully.
David McAllester Professor and Chief Academic Officer at the Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago
The Singularity would enable machines to become infinitely intelligent, and would pose an ‘incredibly dangerous scenario’, he says.
Hans Moravec Former professor at the Robotics Institute of CMU, and founder of the SeeGrid Corporation
He states that by the end of this process “the immensities of cyberspace will be teeming with unhuman superminds, engaged in affairs that are to human concerns as ours are to those of bacteria”
Murray Shanahan Professor of Cognitive Robotics at Imperial College London, and Research Scientist at DeepMind
The singularity presents both an existential threat to humanity and an existential opportunity for humanity to transcend its limitations. Shanahan makes it clear that we need to imagine both possibilities if we want to bring about the better outcome.Disagree:
Paul G. Allen Co-founder of Microsoft
Gaining a comprehensive scientific understanding of human cognition is one of the hardest problems there is. We continue to make encouraging progress. But by the end of the century, we believe, we will still be wondering if the singularity is near.
Steve Wozniak Co-Founder of Apple Inc, inventor of the personal computer
It's actually going to turn out really good for humans. And it will be hundreds of years down the stream before they'd even have the ability. They'll be so smart by then that they'll know they have to keep nature, and humans are part of nature. So I got over my fear that we'd be replaced by computers. They're going to help us. We're at least the gods originally.
Stanford University Stanford University Report
Contrary to the more fantastic predictions for AI in the popular press, the Study Panel found no cause for concern that AI is an imminent threat to humankind. No machines with self-sustaining long-term goals and intent have been developed, nor are they likely to be developed in the near future.
Mark Zuckerberg CEO at Facebook
I have pretty strong opinions on this. I am optimistic. I think you can build things and the world gets better. But with AI especially, I am really optimistic. I think people who are naysayers and try to drum up these doomsday scenarios — I just, I don't understand it. It's really negative and in some ways I actually think it is pretty irresponsible
Steven Pinker Johnstone Family Professor in the Department of Psychology at Harvard University
There is not the slightest reason to believe in a coming singularity. The fact that you can visualize a future in your imagination is not evidence that it is likely or even possible. Look at domed cities, jet-pack commuting, underwater cities, mile-high buildings, and nuclear-powered automobiles--all staples of futuristic fantasies when I was a child that have never arrived. Sheer processing power... See More
Rodney A. Brooks Fellow of the Australian Academy of Science, author, and robotics entrepreneur
If we are spectacularly lucky we’ll have AI over the next thirty years with the intentionality of a lizard, and robots using that AI will be useful tools. [...] Worrying about AI that will be intentionally evil to us is pure fear mongering
Roger Schank John Evans Professor Emeritus of Computer Science, Psychology and Education, Northwestern Univ
Machines cannot think. They are not going to think any time soon. They may increasingly do more interesting things, but the idea that we need to worry about them, regulate them, or grant them civil rights, is just plain silly.
Yann LeCun Computer scientist working in machine learning and computer vision
There are several real or imagined dangers about AI. Today, the danger of a Terminator scenario or something like this... those are not things that we’re worried about because we just don’t have the technology to build machines like that.
Carlo Rovelli Theoretical Physicist and Author
How close to thinking are the machines we have built, or are going to be built soon? The answer is easy: immensely far. The gap between our best computers and the brain of a child is the gap between a drop of water and the Pacific Ocean. Differences are in performance, structural, functional, and more. Any maundering about how to deal with thinking machines is totally premature to say the least.
Tim O'Reilly Founder and CEO, O'Reilly Media. Investor. Studied at Harvard University.
Fear is not the right frame of mind to think about AI's impact on our society
Ben Goertzel
Bostrom and Yudkowsky’s arguments for existential risk have some logical foundation, but are often presented in an exaggerated way
Oren Etzioni CEO of the Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence
Predictions that superintelligence is on the foreseeable horizon are not supported by the available data. Moreover, it’s possible that AI systems could collaborate with people to create a symbiotic superintelligence. That would be very different from the pernicious and autonomous kind envisioned by Professor Bostrom
T. J. Rodgers Founder of Cypress Semiconductor
I don't believe in technological singularities
Chamath Palihapitiya First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, and then you win. CEO @Soc
I do think we will get ever precise capabilities in strictly defined systems (autonomous driving) where most of the hairiest and ambiguous rules will be ratified or voted on, but i don't see an "intelligent" brain anywhere around the corner
Grady Booch Software engineer. Developed UML
Might a superintelligent AI emerge? In some distant future, perhaps
Gordon Moore Co-founder and chairman emeritus of Intel. Proponent of Moore's Law
The singularity is unlikely ever to occur because of the complexity with which the human brain operates
