AI will pose a serious risk to society within the next 50 years
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Agree:
Stephen Hawking British physicist
The primitive forms of artificial intelligence developed so far have already proved very useful, but I fear the consequences of creating something that can match or surpass humans.
Nick Bostrom
Before the prospect of an intelligence explosion, we humans are like small children playing with a bomb [...] We have little idea when the detonation will occur, though if we hold the device to our ear we can hear a faint ticking sound
Alan Turing British mathematician and logician, a major contributor to mathematics, cryptanalysis, and AI
Even if we could keep the machines in a subservient position, for instance by turning off the power at strategic moments, we should, as a species, feel greatly humbled. … [T]his new danger … is certainly something which can give us anxiety.
Stuart Russell Professor of Computer Science at Berkeley
The question is: Could you prove that your systems can’t ever, no matter how smart they are, overwrite their original goals as set by the humans?
Marvin Minsky Mathematician, computer scientist, and pioneer in the field of artificial intelligence
The ultimate risk comes when our greedy, lazy, masterminds are able at last to take that final step: to design goal-achieving programs which are programmed to make themselves grow increasingly powerful.
Hans Moravec Former professor at the Robotics Institute of CMU, and founder of the SeeGrid Corporation
He states that by the end of this process “the immensities of cyberspace will be teeming with unhuman superminds, engaged in affairs that are to human concerns as ours are to those of bacteria”
Marcus Hutter Professor in the Research School of Computer Science at Australian National University
Way before the singularity, even when setting up a virtual society in our imagine, there are likely some immediate difference, for example that the value of an individual life suddenly drops, with drastic consequences.
David Chalmers Australian National University Professor
An intelligence explosion has enormous potential dangers: an end to the human race, an arms race of warring machines, the power to destroy the planetDisagree:
Steven Pinker Johnstone Family Professor in the Department of Psychology at Harvard University
There is not the slightest reason to believe in a coming singularity. The fact that you can visualize a future in your imagination is not evidence that it is likely or even possible. Look at domed cities, jet-pack commuting, underwater cities, mile-high buildings, and nuclear-powered automobiles--all staples of futuristic fantasies when I was a child that have never arrived. Sheer processing power... See More
Rodney A. Brooks Fellow of the Australian Academy of Science, author, and robotics entrepreneur
If we are spectacularly lucky we’ll have AI over the next thirty years with the intentionality of a lizard, and robots using that AI will be useful tools. [...] Worrying about AI that will be intentionally evil to us is pure fear mongering
Roger Schank John Evans Professor Emeritus of Computer Science, Psychology and Education, Northwestern Univ
Machines cannot think. They are not going to think any time soon. They may increasingly do more interesting things, but the idea that we need to worry about them, regulate them, or grant them civil rights, is just plain silly.
