AI will pose a serious risk to society within the next 50 years
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Agree:
Bill Gates Philanthropist. Founder and former CEO of Microsoft.
I am in the camp that is concerned about super intelligence. First the machines will do a lot of jobs for us and not be super intelligent...A few decades after that though the intelligence is strong enough to be a concern.
World Economic Forum World Economic Forum Report
Some serious thinkers fear that AI could one day pose an existential threat: a ‘superintelligence’ might pursue goals that prove not to be aligned with the continued existence of humankind
Sam Altman President of Y Combinator. Investor at Reddit, Stripe, Change.org, Pinterest and many others
Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity.
Stephen Hawking British physicist
The primitive forms of artificial intelligence developed so far have already proved very useful, but I fear the consequences of creating something that can match or surpass humans.
Max Tegmark Professor at MIT & co-founder at Future of Life Institute
Superintelligent machines are quite feasible
James Barrat Filmmaker, speaker and author
AI will have survival drives much like our own. We may be forced to compete with a rival more cunning, more powerful, and more alien than we can imagine
Nick Bostrom
Before the prospect of an intelligence explosion, we humans are like small children playing with a bomb [...] We have little idea when the detonation will occur, though if we hold the device to our ear we can hear a faint ticking sound
Yoshua Bengio Computer scientist at University of Montreal
One thing I came with is also … this subject of safe AI came up in many discussions, and I would say that these discussions left a strong [positive] impression on me.
Roman Yampolskiy Computer scientist at the University of Louisville
Yampolskiy has warned of the possibility of existential risk from advanced artificial intelligence, and has advocated research into "boxing" artificial intelligenceDisagree:
Paul G. Allen Co-founder of Microsoft
Gaining a comprehensive scientific understanding of human cognition is one of the hardest problems there is. We continue to make encouraging progress. But by the end of the century, we believe, we will still be wondering if the singularity is near.
Steve Wozniak Co-Founder of Apple Inc, inventor of the personal computer
It's actually going to turn out really good for humans. And it will be hundreds of years down the stream before they'd even have the ability. They'll be so smart by then that they'll know they have to keep nature, and humans are part of nature. So I got over my fear that we'd be replaced by computers. They're going to help us. We're at least the gods originally.
Stanford University Stanford University Report
Contrary to the more fantastic predictions for AI in the popular press, the Study Panel found no cause for concern that AI is an imminent threat to humankind. No machines with self-sustaining long-term goals and intent have been developed, nor are they likely to be developed in the near future.
Mark Zuckerberg CEO at Facebook
I have pretty strong opinions on this. I am optimistic. I think you can build things and the world gets better. But with AI especially, I am really optimistic. I think people who are naysayers and try to drum up these doomsday scenarios — I just, I don't understand it. It's really negative and in some ways I actually think it is pretty irresponsible
Steven Pinker Johnstone Family Professor in the Department of Psychology at Harvard University
There is not the slightest reason to believe in a coming singularity. The fact that you can visualize a future in your imagination is not evidence that it is likely or even possible. Look at domed cities, jet-pack commuting, underwater cities, mile-high buildings, and nuclear-powered automobiles--all staples of futuristic fantasies when I was a child that have never arrived. Sheer processing power... See More
Rodney A. Brooks Fellow of the Australian Academy of Science, author, and robotics entrepreneur
If we are spectacularly lucky we’ll have AI over the next thirty years with the intentionality of a lizard, and robots using that AI will be useful tools. [...] Worrying about AI that will be intentionally evil to us is pure fear mongering
Roger Schank John Evans Professor Emeritus of Computer Science, Psychology and Education, Northwestern Univ
Machines cannot think. They are not going to think any time soon. They may increasingly do more interesting things, but the idea that we need to worry about them, regulate them, or grant them civil rights, is just plain silly.
Yann LeCun Computer scientist working in machine learning and computer vision
There are several real or imagined dangers about AI. Today, the danger of a Terminator scenario or something like this... those are not things that we’re worried about because we just don’t have the technology to build machines like that.
